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Medicare Reform - Maybe or Maybe Not!
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"It looks as though the reform of Medicare to make prescription drugs available will force seniors into private insurance plans if they want the coverage. Your choice will be to stay with the current plan and not get prescriptions covered or to go to a private government subsidized insurance plan with some prescription coverage."
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• President Delivers State of Union
 
President George W. Bush presented his annual State of the Union address January 28, 2003. During his near hour long speech he devoted a few seconds to Medicare stating "Health care reform must begin with Medicare; Medicare is the binding commitment of a caring society. We must renew that commitment by giving seniors access to preventive medicine and new drugs that are transforming health care in America.

Seniors happy with the current Medicare system should be able to keep their coverage just the way it is. And just like you -- the members of Congress, and your staffs, and other federal employees -- all seniors should have the choice of a health care plan that provides prescription drugs.

My budget will commit an additional $400 billion over the next decade to reform and strengthen Medicare. Leaders of both political parties have talked for years about strengthening Medicare. I urge the members of this new Congress to act this year. "

While on the surface this sounds great, I have to wonder about the substance and feasibility of a plan for Medicare that will depend on the private sector for success.

Medicare currently has three parts, Medicare Part A, Part B and Part C (also know as Medicare +Choice). Medicare Parts A and B mirror traditional health coverage. They cover hospital care, nursing home and home health care and doctors fees. Traditional Medicare provides no benefits for preventive care (yearly check ups) or for prescription drugs. Medicare +Choice is a plan by which HMO's provide Medicare benefits using their networks of doctors and other healthcare providers. Medicare (through the Healthcare financing agency. Less than 10% of Medicare beneficiaries are enrolled in Medicare +Choice plans. Many seniors have never had the opportunity to enroll as these plans were usually not available in smaller markets and sparsely populated rural areas. Many HMO's have also pulled out of markets over the last few years because of rising health care expenditures and decreasing profits with increasing losses.

HMO's have not been able to keep a handle on health care costs over the last few years have for the most part had to increase premiums and increase the cost share for their beneficiaries.

Will another version of Medicare +Choice be acceptable to those on Medicare, now and in the future? Probably not in this HMO wary country. Will the private sector be willing to assume the financial risk of providing health care to the Medicare population? Not without greatly increased reimbursements. Will healthcare providers (doctors and hospitals) be willing to contract with HMO's to provide care to a group that is expected to grow to 77,000,000 by the year 2030? Not unless they are assured of payments that cover their costs.

Healthcarereform, but I doubt that with the distractions of war and a lagging economy we will see much if any progress on this issue. I predict that this will once again be an issue in the 2004 presidential election.

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